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stevelee



Joined: 04 Mar 2010
Posts: 9912
Location: Davidson

PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:01 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I predict fewer instances of the 4 or 5 playing the point.
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BDL



Joined: 04 Dec 2016
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2018 9:47 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

When this guy had us in the top 50 (45 if I recall correctly) we finished 17-15 and missed the NIT, when he had us lower last year we went 21-12 and made the tournament... Yeah, these rankings hold very little actual merit.
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stevelee



Joined: 04 Mar 2010
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PostPosted: Wed Sep 12, 2018 10:24 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

But can be entertaining.

We have a lot of known unknowns, but still unknown unknowns about the upcoming season. That's part of the fun.

Half time of the St. Louis game would have been a great time to make bets about the conference record and the tournament results.
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JustaCatsFan



Joined: 13 Feb 2017
Posts: 203

PostPosted: Thu Sep 13, 2018 4:56 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevelee wrote:
But can be entertaining.

We have a lot of known unknowns, but still unknown unknowns about the upcoming season. That's part of the fun.

Half time of the St. Louis game would have been a great time to make bets about the conference record and the tournament results.


I think this year's STL game may again prove pivital...
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stevelee



Joined: 04 Mar 2010
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:21 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

They're supposedly much better this year, so it could easily be.
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BDL



Joined: 04 Dec 2016
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PostPosted: Thu Sep 13, 2018 7:18 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

stevelee wrote:
They're supposedly much better this year, so it could easily be.


I think it will be pivotal in the conference title race. I also think it'll be a matchup of two NCAA tournament teams.
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i77cat



Joined: 01 Dec 2005
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:22 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

SLU checks in at #53.
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stevelee



Joined: 04 Mar 2010
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:27 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

A 12 seed in NCAA, with UNCG a 13.
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JustaCatsFan



Joined: 13 Feb 2017
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PostPosted: Sun Sep 16, 2018 10:54 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

JustaCatsFan wrote:
stevelee wrote:
But can be entertaining.

We have a lot of known unknowns, but still unknown unknowns about the upcoming season. That's part of the fun.

Half time of the St. Louis game would have been a great time to make bets about the conference record and the tournament results.


I think this year's STL game may again prove pivital...


Someone else thinks the STL game is going to prove critical.

https://www.midmajormadness.com/2018/9/6/17827774/ncaa-tournament-2019-at-large-mid-major-loyola-chicago-nevada-byu-gonzaga
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stevelee



Joined: 04 Mar 2010
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PostPosted: Tue Sep 18, 2018 10:25 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Also for bragging rights in Iceland.
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i77cat



Joined: 01 Dec 2005
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 8:32 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Early opponent Wichita State is #46. Ten new players eligible, including two JUCO guys.
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cat44



Joined: 12 Jul 2012
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PostPosted: Sat Sep 22, 2018 8:47 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

I believe Joel mixedup his 46 and 57 picks.
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stan



Joined: 19 Nov 2006
Posts: 14139
Location: Knoxville

PostPosted: Wed Oct 03, 2018 5:01 pm    Post subject: Reply with quote

wildcat12546 wrote:
Did a little research. Since the field expanded in 1985, the Atlantic 10 has been a one-bid conference four times in 34 seasons. The last two of those were the 2001-02 and 2004-05 seasons. Here are the rest of the numbers:

Two bids (6 times)

Three bids (16 times)

Four bids (4 times)

5 bids (3 times)

Six bids (once).

Obviously, the league could have a down year, but, over the last 34 seasons the A10 has averaged 3 bids each year.

I just don't buy the "beat each other up" theory. If that were true, then it would have been a problem in years past. Having a bunch of Top 100 teams means a lot of opportunities for quality wins, particularly on the road. I believe the new quadrant system weighs home vs. road wins differently so a quality conference should help the league even more as we'll be able to get more road opportunities than schools in weaker conferences.


All comes down to the OOC results. Last year the A10 was just putrid in way too many OOC games. If the league generally wins the ones we ought to, gets a good share of the tossups in neutral court tournaments, and steals a decent upset or two or three in the power 5 matchups, all the RPIs go up. Perhaps way up.

The beat each other up scenario is a real thing. Bids are maximized in a barbell league. A good OOC performance and a barbell league sets up for 4 or 5 possible bids. A poor OOC performance and some bad upsets in league play and you get a one or two bid scenario.

BTW -- I think reputation makes more of a difference for our conference than for teams in the P5 leagues. Dayton and VCU have earned a lot of NCAA worthy respect. St Bona, before last season, not so much. If the Flyers or Rams had the same resume the Bonnies had a season end, I don't think anyone would have been nervous about them on selection sunday. Probably true for the AAC teams, too. UConn, Temple, Wichita, Cinn all have names. UCF, Tulane, USF wouldn't get the same benefit of the doubt. At least, I don't think so.
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i77cat



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PostPosted: Mon Oct 08, 2018 9:10 am    Post subject: Reply with quote

Potential Charleston opponent Purdue is #30.
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