ChantillyCat
Joined: 14 Jul 2008
Posts: 3969
Location: Chantilly, VA
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 Posted: Sat Feb 10, 2018 9:10 pm Post subject: Last four games... |
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St. Joes rolled to a 19 point win at heavily favored Duquesne today. They’re now 7-5 in the conference. We’re tied with Richmond at 5-7 and we hold the tiebreaker over them. If we can stay at least even with Richmond, it's fairly certain we'll earn a home game in the 1st round of the A10 tournament.
Here’s what the three teams have left:
 
| Code: | Davidson Richmond St. Joes
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St. Joes (47%) @Bona (49%) @Davidson (53%)
@UMass (57%) VCU (80%) La Salle (84%)
@La Salle (54%) UMass (76%) GW (37%)
VCU (79%) @GW (12%) @Fordham (14%) |
If you “run the numbersâ€, the most likely 4-game finish for each team is 2-2. We’re the most likely to finish 3-1, which is almost as likely as our 2-2 finish. But I don’t think numbers mean a great deal right now.
We still have a good shot at catching St. Joes, provided we beat them on Wednesday and secure the tiebreaker. Dynamic G/F Chelsea Woods has returned for the Hawks after going through concussion protocol.
Richmond at Bona on Wednesday is also a key "coin flip" game, obviously. For the Bonnies, versatile G Mckenna Maycock (11+ ppg, 6+ rpg) has returned to the lineup, as has much needed inside presence C Abigail Johnson (7+ rpg). Both were out when we played them.
Maycock suffered a PCL knee injury (as opposed to ACL or MCL) in mid-December. She would have returned sooner if not for a kidney infection in January. Terrible luck for the Bonnies this year.
Go Cats!
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...coming out of the murky, dreary jungle of untutored mediocrity. |
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